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Maiden Watch: Oct. 7-Oct. 13View the full article

And the money keeps comin! 😎

Fact, notwithstanding he could get injured or sick between now and then.

reminded me of some junior drivers races from your days Charlie. One night at Cambridge they had a spill and skirmish in the junior race and Geoff King was on one of the fav's from his leading BarryP stable,  but sat 3 wide for a lap outside the 4 horses still left in contention and got beat . Don't think the poor bugger ever got another drive , after that. Sam Thornley has drawn the plum drive horse Friday night (and likely favourite)  in Borrisokane . should be winning but from 3 on the 2nd row might have to go 'Wide' at some stage. 🤣  he'll be a tad nervous lol 😆.

Well it is ONE predictor, often accurate sure. But it is fallible and that is why there is a market....For example, if they always finished in order of favouritism, then betting would collapse as we already know the outcome.  Take the MC as one example - frequently the winner pays between $10 - $25 as a win dividend. So yes, quite favoured but not often the outright favourite. Last one to win was Fiorente I think? And perhaps that is a bad example as there is a lot of uneducated money in the market. 

Big race winner disqualified after breaking whip rules   IMAGE SOURCE, PA MEDIA Image caption,  Apprentice jockey Jamie Powell has been suspended for 28 days Alastair Telfer BBC Sport journalist   Published 15 October 2024, 15:30 BST Updated 4 hours ago The winner of a major race has been disqualified because his rider used his whip too many times. Apprentice jockey Jamie Powell used his whip on 10 occasions as he rode to victory on Alphonse Le Grande in the Cesarewitch Handicap at Newmarket on Saturday. It is the third disqualification, and the most high profile, from 16,000 races since new whip rules were brought in last year. The threshold for use of the whip was reduced by one to seven in jumps races and six in flat races, with 10 triggering a disqualification. The incident was referred to the Whip Review Committee (WRC), which disqualified Alphonse Le Grande and suspended Powell for 28 days, with original runner-up Manxman awarded the race. A British Horseracing Authority spokesperson said such disqualifications were brought in to deter "flagrant misuse of the whip" to "safeguard the fairness" of race results. Last November, Alex Edwards became the first winner to be disqualified in nearly 8,000 races since the rules were introduced, while Poppy Wynne lost her victory on Swift Tuttle in July. "It sends a clear message that we do not tolerate misuse of the whip. There is simply no excuse for using the whip four times or more above the permitted level," the BHA spokesperson added. "It is encouraging that there have been so few instances of this being the case since the rule was introduced, with this being only the third time a winner has been disqualified for egregious overuse of the whip. "The Whip Review Committee (WRC) was introduced to ensure consistency of decision-making around whip decisions. It is critical that decisions of such importance as potential disqualification are handled in a consistent manner via this process."     IMAGE SOURCE, PA   

PUKEKOHE: BEST-BET: R7 LI LI. Li Li, trained by Stephen Marsh and ridden by Donavan Mansour, is a strong contender today. Despite a challenging career record of 0 wins from 7 starts, her recent performances show promise. After a five-month break, she finished 5th at Tauranga over 1400m, just 2.25 lengths behind the winner, and previously trialed well, indicating she's ready to improve. This 4-year-old bay mare has shown consistent place ability, with a 42% placing rate. With blinkers added today, expect a focused effort as she settles back in the field. Given her course placing and recent trial success, today could be her breakthrough. With a favorable weight of 56.5kg, keep an eye on Li Li as a valuable bet!   EACH-WAY: R3 SASPERELLA Sasperella, trained by Danica Guy and ridden by Masa Hashizume, presents excellent each-way value for today's meeting. With a record of 0 wins from 7 starts but a solid placing rate of 42%, she has shown glimpses of her potential. Her last outings included a 6th place finish at Matamata, where she was just 3.5 lengths behind the winner in a competitive field. This 4-year-old grey mare is expected to perform better as she races third-up, having previously shown her best form in clockwise races. Despite a wide draw, her ability to settle back and finish strongly makes her a contender. With gear changes including approved plates and a tongue tie, she is primed for an improved effort today. At a fair price, Sasperella could deliver a valuable return whether she wins or places, making her a smart pick for each-way betting. Keep an eye on her—she is poised to surprise!   WATCH: R4 JULU Juju Pop, trained by the team of Lance O'Sullivan and Andrew Scott, is one to keep an eye on in today’s meeting. This 5-year-old brown mare has shown steady improvement, especially evident in her last outing where she finished a close 2nd at Taupo over 1400m, just 1.75 lengths behind the winner. Her placing indicates she is in good form and ready to capitalize on any favourable conditions. With a career record of 1 win and 1 place from 7 starts, her 14% win and 28% place rates highlight her potential. Notably, she thrives at this distance, and her previous maiden win at the track shows she knows how to perform here. The removal of the tongue tie suggests a focus on enhancing her performance even further. Juju Pop's consistent efforts, especially in her second-up run, make her a promising candidate for a breakout performance. Watch her closely today; she has the potential to deliver an exciting finish!   My Other Rating Selections: Race 1 CRYSTAL FALLS Trainer: Stephen Marsh Jockey: Vinnie Colgan Weight: 56.5kg Rating: 100 Form Overview: Crystal Falls has shown glimpses of potential throughout her career, particularly in her recent outings. With a record of 12 starts resulting in 0 wins, 2 seconds, and 1 third, she has yet to break her maiden but has consistently finished in the top three, indicating that she is capable of competitive performances. Recent Performances: In her latest run at Cambridge, Crystal Falls finished a solid 3rd out of 8 over 2000m, just 2 lengths behind the winner, Golden. Prior to that, she was 4th at Matamata over the same distance, where she was only 3 lengths off the leader, suggesting that she is finding form and is competitive in her class. Strengths: Distance Experience: Crystal Falls has shown that she can manage the 2000m distance, having finished well in her last two races at this length. Consistent Jockey: With Vinnie Colgan aboard, who has a solid recent record, her chances improve. Colgan has shown a knack for getting the best out of his mounts in recent runs. Form in Heavy Conditions: She has experience on heavy tracks, which might be beneficial depending on today’s ground conditions. Considerations: While her win percentage may be concerning (0%), her place percentage stands at 25%, indicating that she is consistently in the mix. Given the right race dynamics, she has a viable chance for a breakthrough win today. Expected Position: Expect Crystal Falls to settle in midfield, which should give her a good chance to make her move as the race progresses. Conclusion: Crystal Falls is a horse to watch in this race. Her recent performances suggest she is close to a win, and with the right conditions, today could be her day. While she may not have the best win record, her place odds are worth considering, and she should not be overlooked in the race. Race 2 MATAKANA GIRL Trainers: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson Jockey: Vinnie Colgan Weight: 56.5kg Rating: 98 Form Overview: Matakana Girl has had a challenging start to her racing career, with a record of 6 starts yielding 0 wins, 0 seconds, and 1 third. However, her recent trials indicate that she may be ready to turn her form around. Recent Performances: Her last competitive outing was on April 19, where she finished 7th of 10 at Matamata over 1400m, 5 lengths behind the winner. Before that, she placed 5th in a competitive field, but both races were on soft or heavy tracks, which may not have suited her. Notably, Matakana Girl performed well in her recent trials, finishing 1st out of 5 in a 1200m trial at Matamata on October 8, highlighting a solid performance on heavy ground. This trial win may signal that she is primed for her return to the races. Strengths: Trial Form: Her recent trial victory suggests she is in decent shape and ready to compete. Jockey Experience: Vinnie Colgan's solid track record in the saddle is an asset, particularly in guiding horses with less experience. Distance Preference: Matakana Girl has experience at 1400m and may benefit from the distance today, especially with her trial performance indicating she can manage it well. Considerations: Despite her lack of wins, her place percentage of 16% indicates potential for improvement. She will need to capitalize on her recent trial form and translate it into race performance. Expected Position: Look for Matakana Girl to settle just off the midfield, allowing her to make a move as the race unfolds. Conclusion: While Matakana Girl is still seeking her first win, her recent trial success offers hope. She appears ready to tackle this field and could surprise if she carries her trial form into the race. Consider her as a contender for a place, and even a win, if she runs to her potential today. Race 6 BIG EXIT Trainer: Andrew Forsman Jockey: Donavan Mansour Weight: 55.5kg Rating: 73 Form Overview: Big Exit has shown promise in her two career starts, with a record of 0 wins, 0 seconds, and 1 third. While still seeking her first win, she demonstrated improvement in her most recent outing. Recent Performances: Last Start: Finished 3rd of 6 at Cambridge on October 3 over 1300m, just 1.5 lengths behind the winner, Puzzle Master. This run was a significant step up from her debut. Debut: Placed 7th of 9 at Matamata on September 13 over 1200m, where she was 8.5 lengths off the pace. The slow track conditions affected her performance. Strengths: Recent Improvement: Her last race indicates a marked improvement, suggesting she may be getting the hang of racing. Trainer Form: Andrew Forsman's training success, with a 25%-win rate, bodes well for Big Exit's potential to continue improving. Jockey Experience: Donavan Mansour has been in solid form and has valuable experience with young horses. Considerations: Big Exit has shown she can be competitive, especially in a small field, and her odds reflect that she is still viewed as an up-and-coming runner. Her ability to improve in her second start is encouraging. Expected Position: Look for Big Exit to settle in a midfield position, allowing her to make a move when the pace quickens. Conclusion: With her recent third-place finish and the potential for further improvement, Big Exit has a good chance to challenge for a top position in this race. While she may still be a work in progress, she could be a strong contender for the trifecta and first four. Keep an eye on her as she continues to develop.   Race 8 JUWALA Trainer: Pam Gerard Jockey: Matt Cartwright Weight: 58.5kg Rating: 96 Form Overview: Juwala is a 4-year-old grey gelding with a career record of 0 wins, 0 seconds, and 1 third from 7 starts. He has been competitive in recent outings, particularly at the 1600m distance. Recent Performances: Last Start: Finished 5th of 12 at Matamata on September 13 over 1600m, 5.5 lengths behind the winner, Rozel. He carried 58.5kg and raced on a soft track. Previous Start: Placed 3rd of 15 at Te Rapa on August 24 over the same distance, finishing 1.3 lengths behind Kawhia on a heavy track. This run was a highlight, displaying his potential. Strengths: Recent Consistency: Juwala has been consistently placing in the top half of the field in recent races, indicating he’s finding form. Gear Change: The addition of blinkers could help him focus and improve his racing performance. Trainer's Success Rate: Pam Gerard boasts a 40%-win rate, which is promising for Juwala’s chances. Considerations: Despite his lack of wins, Juwala has shown he can be competitive, particularly in softer conditions. His recent runs indicate he's moving in the right direction, and the gear change could provide the necessary edge. Expected Position: Juwala is likely to settle off the pace, allowing him to conserve energy for a late charge. Conclusion: With a strong trainer behind him and recent encouraging performances, Juwala could be a valuable contender for the trifecta and first four. His ability to place in previous races combined with the new gear suggests he has the potential to break through soon. Keep an eye on him as he looks to capitalize on his recent form. Race 9: WREN Trainer: Andrew Forsman Jockey: Matt Cartwright Weight: 56.5kg Rating: 93 Form Overview: Wren is a 4-year-old bay mare with a career record of 1 win from 6 starts. She won her maiden race at Rotorua in December 2023 and has shown potential in higher-class races since. Recent Performances: Last Start: Finished 10th of 12 in the G3 Manawatu Classic at Trentham on April 6, over 2100m. She was 15.9 lengths behind the winner. This race was a tough outing against strong competition. Prior Start: In the G1 event at Trentham on March 16, she finished 11th of 16, 10.8 lengths behind the winner. Both races indicate she faced significant challenges. Strengths: Maiden Win: Wren’s maiden victory over 1400m at Rotorua was solid, showing her potential at shorter distances. Recent Trials: Although her recent trials showed mixed results, she has experience against competitive fields. Good Trainer Stats: Andrew Forsman has a respectable training record, and Matt Cartwright has been performing well lately. Considerations: While her last couple of outings in high-stakes races were not ideal, Wren drops in class and is expected to perform better in this field. The gear changes, including blinkers, may help her focus more during the race. Expected Position: Wren is anticipated to lead or sit close to the pace, which could be advantageous in a field with varying race styles. Conclusion: Despite recent setbacks in tougher races, Wren has the pedigree and past performance to bounce back in this class. Her maiden win and the support from her experienced trainer and jockey make her a solid contender for a strong placing in this race. Look for her to potentially improve upon her previous efforts, especially with a more suitable class of opponents. Race 10: SUNSET BOULEVARD Trainer: Steven Ramsay & Julia Ritchie Jockey: To Be Advised Weight: 58.5kg Rating: 95 Form Overview: Sunset Boulevard is a 4-year-old bay gelding with a solid career record of 1 win, 2 seconds, and 1 third from 5 starts. He has shown consistent form, particularly at distances between 1600m and 2100m. Recent Performances: Last Start: Finished 9th of 13 at Hastings over 2100m on September 28. Although he was 4.4 lengths behind the winner, he faced strong competition in a soft track. Prior Start: Came in 3rd at Hastings over 1600m on September 7, showing a competitive edge, just 1.2 lengths behind the winner. Strengths: Maiden Win: Achieved his maiden victory at Ruakaka over 2100m in May 2024, demonstrating his ability to handle longer distances. Experience: With 5 starts under his belt, Sunset Boulevard has a good understanding of race conditions and competition. Versatile Ground: Can perform well on both dry and wet tracks, giving him an edge regardless of weather conditions. Considerations: The change to visor blinkers might help him focus and improve his racing position. He has shown the ability to settle midfield, which could be beneficial in this race. Expected Position: Sunset Boulevard is likely to settle in the midfield, allowing him to make a strong bid in the latter stages of the race. Conclusion: With a solid record and potential for improvement with gear changes, Sunset Boulevard is a horse to watch. His recent performances indicate that he is ready to make an impact, especially if he can replicate the form shown in his maiden win. This race could be a good opportunity for him to return to the winner's circle.  

2024 THE EVEREST FIELD No. – Horse – Trainer – Jockey – Barrier – Weight 1 – I WISH I WIN – Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman – Luke Nolen – 9 – 58.5kg 2 – GIGA KICK – Clayton Douglas – Mark Zahra – 3 – 58.5kg 3 – PRIVATE EYE – Joseph Pride – Jay Ford – 10 – 58.5kg 4 – BELLA NIPOTINA – Ciaron Maher – Craig Williams – 12 – 56.5kg 5 – I AM ME – Ciaron Maher – Nash Rawiller – 1 – 56.5kg 6 – STEFI MAGNETICA – Bjorn Baker – Zac Lloyd (a) – 6 – 56.5kg 7 – SUNSHINE IN PARIS – Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald – Tommy Berry – 8 – 56.5kg 8 – JOLIESTAR – Chris Waller – James McDonald – 4 – 56.5kg 9 – GROWING EMPIRE – Ciaron Maher – Kerrin McEvoy – 7 – 53kg 10 – TRAFFIC WARDEN – James Cummings – Jamie Kah – 2 – 53kg 11 – STORM BOY – Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott – Brenton Avdulla – 5 – 53kg 12 – LADY OF CAMELOT – Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott – Rachel King – 11 – 51kg Emergencies 13 emg – OVERPASS – Bjorn Baker – 58.5kg 14 emg – THINK ABOUT IT – Joseph Pride – 58.5kg 15 emg – SOUTHPORT TYCOON – Ciaron Maher – 58.5kg 16 emg – MAZU – Joseph Pride – 58.5kg ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ The post barrier draw market for The Everest is. 1 – I WISH I WIN – $5 2 – GIGA KICK – $11 3 – PRIVATE EYE – $26 (out from $21) 4 – BELLA NIPOTINA – $8 (out from $6) 5 – I AM ME – $17 (out from $15) 6 – STEFI MAGNETICA – $15 7 – SUNSHINE IN PARIS – $11 8 – JOLIESTAR – $6 (in from $7) 9 – GROWING EMPIRE – $6 10 – TRAFFIC WARDEN – $9 11 – STORM BOY – $15 12 – LADY OF CAMELOT – $51 (out from $34) 13 emg – OVERPASS – N/A 14 emg – THINK ABOUT IT – N/A 15 emg – SOUTHPORT TYCOON – N/A 16 emg – MAZU – N/A  

1st instalment seems to have been 15mm on Tuesday night.  Note how low the moisture meter reading still is: Withdrawal Morning Weather: Overcast Track: Soft 5 Moisture Meter: 29.4% Rail: Out 3m Rainfall: 0mm Last 24 Hours | 12mm Rain Last 7 Days Irrigation: 15mm Applied Weather and Track updated at 8.25am Wednesday 16 October

I don't think we better talk about the drive last night . But I bet Sam did a runner when he saw Jason walking over 

After looking at the draws and the jockeys and seeing a segment on Gigakick . I think $4 fixed for a place looks like a good bet 

It was not his day and certainly not put in race until late. Thats what makes me think he is one to follow.

Was referring to the statement "He will come" not on betting on the horse"

Emery and My Mane Squeeze—second and third in the Aug. 3 Test (G1) at Saratoga Race Course—headline a field of 10 that will travel seven furlongs at Keeneland Oct. 19 in the $350,000 Raven Run Stakes (G2).View the full article

An overflow field of 12 race seven furlongs at Keeneland Oct. 19 in the $300,000 Perryville Stakes (G3), led by Book'em Danno and including Kentucky Derby (G1) alums West Saratoga and Epic Ride.View the full article

Out of her sire's first crop, Huracan Boricua was bred by Machmer Hall and Kevin and Victoria Duffy. She is owned by ERV Enterprises and trained by Eduardo Falcon.View the full article

Stretching out to 1 5/16 miles proved successful for Neecie Marie in the Sept. 7 Ladies Marathon Stakes (G3T) at Kentucky Downs. Now, the 4-year-old filly stretches out further to 1 1/2 miles in the $300,000 Dowager Stakes (G3T) at Keeneland Oct. 20.View the full article

Due to cases of Equine Infectious Anemia and other equine health issues prevalent in the region, Zia Park, after consultations with state and national equine health officials, has announced new requirements for entry into its barn area.View the full article

Track bias does exist. When the rail is out a certain distance or there are certain weather conditions, it advantages horses running in a particular position in running or in the straight. There wasn't much/any bias at Caulfield on Saturday, but to say there's never any bias (including at Caulfield) is just incorrect. The best predictor of what will happen in a race is the closing prices. When the market closes everyone who has any information or knowledge has put their money where their mouth is, so it is a complete distillation of all the knowledge of all the participants in the betting market. Savvy punters will wait until late on to back their horses (both to avoid putting a bet on before something changes like the weather, a scratching, or a jockey change, AND to hide their information from the rest of the market). Late moves aren't a perfect predictor of a horse having a better chance of winning than its odds reflected five minutes ago; if the move is because Trackside interviewed an overconfident trainer or a commentator has tipped a horse out (or mentioned a track bias that doesn't exist) then the late money is probably dumb money, but otherwise late money on a horse is usually smart money and you should pay attention. (That said, by the time the money is on the odds have probably been adjusted to a point such that you've missed out on the value, so if you follow the move you're probably too late.)

No. You need to hop on and show you can do better yourself given the horsepower that you have. I thought it was a good ride under the circumstances and the horse just wasn't good enough.