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By Harry Newshound · Posted
Luring in accomplished graded stakes-winning fillies Just F Y I, Candied, and Tarifa, the $350,000 Doubledogdare Stakes (G3) drew a field worthy of a grade 1 April 18 at Keeneland.View the full article -
By sunlineboy · Posted
And if Fangirl doesn't win, the profit you would have made backing them all as single bets disappears and you're now a loser despite picking 2/3. There is a reason why bookmakers typically offer an odds boost (offshore bookies anyway) for multi-bets. Your probability of profiting diminishes significantly when taking a multi because your original bet + profit are now at stake. You earn nothing from correctly predicting the first and/or second winner, because now you have a sizable wager on your third pick, and by Idolmite's theory, you wouldn't typically want to wager that much on a single bet. Your multi is now a single bet because you haven't chosen to secure profit from the first leg/s. Multis are attractive because the odds appear significant, but they're a sure fire way to burn through your account, and if you ever wonder why the TAB/Trackside continue to shove them down your throats, you know why. Just don't waste a good bet. -
Danehill Dancer and Kodiac close genetically… -
Another nice debut winner on Sunday - Bulgari https://loveracing.nz/RaceInfo/53366/3/Race-Detail.aspx HY building…
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1.60 x 2.05 x 1.65 does not equal 3.8 -
Not necessarily , Treasure the Moment , Via Sistena and Fangirl all shortened , I took my multi early and got much better . As I said I got 6.94 , starting odds gives you 3.8 . All depends on punter confidence . -
By sunlineboy · Posted
Idolmite - I just hate seeing punters lose a multi when they could have profited from betting on the options as single bets. Nothing but good intentions 😋 -
But more likely the odds will drift on subsequent races as percentages get lower as you get closer to race start times.
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Coupland's Mile (The TAB Mile) has iconic race status. That has to be a typo.
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You're beginning to repeat yourself -
Do you have any facts or stats to back up this claim?
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I can tell you that very few people back a $5 shot get $500 back and have the courage to put it on the $2 shot , no matter how confident they are , so just back your $5 shot and leave it at that , Even if you back the $2 shot first I would guarentee most would simply pocket $100 and put the rest on the $5 shot . At the odds I backed yesterday there has to be great confidence to just put it on and live with the result , which I was . I wouldn't put that bet on in NZ though , I simply don't trust our riders .
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By Canterbury Man · Posted
That isn't too far off a reasonable time for a G4 or better but a Soft 5 - Yeah Na! -
By sunlineboy · Posted
"But if they never wanted that much on one last result why put it on ." My point is this... there is substantial risk in the first leg, which is paying $5. If you don't mind turning your $20 bet into a $100 bet, skip the first leg and back the last leg of your multi at $2. People will say, but you're risking $100 compared to $20. But that's the case if your first leg is successful. Your $20 has now become $100, and you're now risking $100 on the second leg. You don't go to a blackjack table, put on a $100 bet, win the bet, then put that $200 on the next hand and act as if you only have invested $100. You have invested $200. -
But I know exactly what I'm risking on the last leg , it's not a time saving measure either . But if they never wanted that much on one last result why put it on . Whilst betting race to race saves time if your first horse wins by the time your next race comes around your odds can reduce substantially , especially on the short ones like yesterday . And if it method allows you to shorten up your bet on the 3rd leg then your lacking faith and heart in your punting . I know exactly what I'm doing as many others do and know my odds are fixed and exactly what I'm up for if successful is the main reason for doing it . Would I spend as much on 3/4 double figure prices , no , more likely singles and doubles , or a Yankee .
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The rail was out 6m at Trentham yesterday. Seems obvious that in the 1200m races they ran a lot less than that distance. -
By sunlineboy · Posted
Interval (a fine horse in its own right) ran 2400m in 2:25.52 at Trentham, and I was looking for a staying time because the 1000m and 1200m times are simply laughable. There hasn't been a Caulfield Cup winner run faster than that since Diatribe in 2000. Yes, different tracks can produce different times, but not to the absurd. Something needs to change because this amateurism reflects poorly on NZ racing. If one of our major tracks can't accurately time races, then what can we do right? And if it's not a timing issue, then the distances aren't correct, and that's even more embarrassing. -
By racingoutsider · Posted
I fail to see what any delay in the trackside race transmission has to do with the race times? And surely, given the times, the distances must have been checked and re-checked? -
By sunlineboy · Posted
That's because they all won, and that's great. If 2/3 won, your multi loses. If 2/3 won, and you bet an even stake on all three horses, you profit. My point is that it's only time you're saving by not taking your original stake + profit and putting it all on the second option, and so forth onto the third option. However, a multi doesn't allow you to take some back and not put as much on the third leg. It's why so many people cash out before the last leg of their multis. They never wanted that much money on one race/sport, and instead, they accept a shocking cash-out rate. Anyway, each to their own, but you'd be surprised how many rec punters believe multis result in better odds, and how many of them risk a sizable profit on their last leg, when they would never think to wager such an amount.
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