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More on the Craven meeting and the week so far in general in my next. As I said in my previous, not an exciting weekend up here in Britain with quantity rather than quality the order of the day. The highlight in Ireland is the three day Fairyhouse Easter Festival which starts on Saturday. Not perhaps the meeting it was thenks to the growth of Punchestown in a couple of weeks but a few decent races still. Sunday sees two championship races - first, the 4000m WillowWarm Gold Cup Chase and Willie Mullins has such strength in depth that while he continues to campaign for the British trainers' championship, he still has seven of the fourteen entries in this. BALLYBURN cost me at Cheltenham I'm afraid and is on a retrieval mission. I really thought the 4850m at Prestbury would be ideal but he was never travelling or jumping with any fluency. At this best, he'll pick these up and carry them but that can't be relied on. ILE ATLANTIQUE was beaten a long way by MAJBOROUGH in the Irish Arkle but could be better back up in trip. SPINDLEBERRY is a lightly raced but improving mare who could well be in contention. The Honeysuckle Mares Novices Hurdle over 4000m does see some Cheltenham form put to the test at this intermediate trip. THE BIG WESTERNER was second in the Albert Bartlett over 4800m but faces a number of novices moving up from the 3200m. AIR OF ENTITLEMENT won the Grade 2 Mares Novices event at Cheltenham beating SIXANDAHALF and you'd fancy both to improve over the additional trip. I always prefer horses stepping up in trip rather than those coming back and there's very little between AIR OF ENTITLEMENT and SIXANDAHALF on Cheltenham form as they were split by half a length. Willie Mullins has eight of the nineteen entries but he might struggle in this one - AURORA VEGA and MAUGHEEN were well behind at Cheltenham and KAROLINE BANDOU, fourth but nearly ten lengths behind AIR OF ENTITLEMENT looks to have plenty on to reverse the form on identical terms. Monday is Irish Grand National day and the big race is run over 5800m but an English raider, HAITI COULEURS, from the Rebecca Curtis yard, is currently 11/2 favourite. Three Grade 2 races on the mOnday which I'll mention briefly. The Juvenile Hurdle looks a weak renewal - WENDROCK was sixth in the Triumph at Cheltenham and fifth in the Aintree equivalent and this will be a much easier mission. Of the 19 entries in the 4000m hurdle, Mullins has six and Gordon Elliott has five. JIMMY DU SEUIL won a 4200m handicap at Cheltenham and while this looks tougher, I'm not sure it is. The 4000m chase has five Mullins versus three Elliott in a field of twelve. HEART WOOD was second in the Ryanair at Cheltenham and that's very strong form given the winner, FACT OR FILE, will likely be taking on the big guns (though not INOTHEWAYURTHINKIN) at Punchestown.
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By Harry Newshound · Posted
Jones Walker is pleased to welcome Laura D'Angelo as a partner in the Corporate Practice Group and a member of the Gaming Industry Team based in Lexington, Kentucky. Laura's addition to the firm expands the firm's reach into the Kentucky market.View the full article -
By Harry Newshound · Posted
A lawsuit filed seeking damages after Rich Strike finished second in the 2022 Lukas Classic (G2) at Churchill Downs was dismissed by Jefferson Circuit Court in Louisville, Ky.View the full article -
Final comment because I would like to think I don't care enough either way to debate this past 4 pages 😂 but here is the best example I can provide using the scenarios already given... If SLB takes a single bet on a $2 shot he needs it to win 50% of the time in order to break even. If Nomates takes a 3 leg multi with $2 shots, he needs to hit 12.5% of the time in order to break even. There is no additional risk taken on by the multi option, so it becomes purely stats at this point. Like flipping a coin. Nomates returns will happen less frequently but come with the same risk vs reward based on a horses perceived 50% win probability. Extrapolate the above over the course of the year, and the ROIs would be exactly the same. Nomates gets bigger highs, just not as often. Nomates will have days where 2/3 win but it ultimately wont matter as the 3 winner days will return him back to the mean of someone punting singles, and someone punting "any twos". Conclusion again: There is no value lost or gained with either strategy. All risk is the same. All returns relative to that risk are also the same. The only difference is the frequency of returns. And again I have no issues with the single bet strategy...only the reasoning as to why it was argued as a better choice. Other comment: I'm not sure mentioning the promos page and the plethora of multi promos is the best of arguments. The counter argument being the TAB do odds surge on quite literally every single runner in a Saturday meeting along with exclusive odds, bonus back cash for singles losers, betcha boosts and Sunday surges.
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By chiknsmack · Posted
They don't actually round down. What they do is put 1% on each of your combinations, then if there's money left over put another 1% on, and so on until the stake is used up. So where with Tabcorp you might have 10.50% on each combination, with the NZTAB you'd end up with 10% on each and then an extra 1% on the first 50% of your combinations in numerical order. That's why your percentage bet ticket with the NZTAB says "Minimum X%". Some of your combos will be X%, some will be 1% more. -
By sunlineboy · Posted
The Roosters were $20. Not really fancied to do much this year. -
No . I didn't have the same confidence after Jamie left
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Shouldn't be a surprise that he's ridden a winner. He's an accomplished horseman riding work and schooling horses on a daily basis.
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His grammar is shyte . He gets so excited because he thinks he can stir a bit but he's been rumbled , knows FA , all his knowledge is out of books , has no practical knowledge of what he thinks he knows . And he thinks he's so important he has his posts "published" , not posted like us plebs .
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By scooby3051 · Posted
They win shyte mid week races mostly...look at their stats down south from the Southern stable...horrendous, but hey you wear rose colored glasses...I and others say it as it is. -
Chad would be the only jockey in NZ who could school a horse without a saddle or bridle. His balance and leg control are outstanding.
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By Canterbury Man · Posted
Let us know when that happens. -
By Canterbury Man · Posted
You don't? Tell us all how things have so different? The facts are that there is stuff all difference. But I guess you are now in the "disgruntled owner category"? 100 to 1 this post won't get published as it probably upsets the sensitivities of the protected view. -
By MrBigStuff · Posted
There are still 24-25 meetings remaining in the season…he should have a good back half one would think. -
Do you still back that stable with the same confidence ???
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Do you still think that Idolmite lol . I bet the bookies are on the knees looking up praying . Who would have thought the Roosters would have been towards the bottom as well
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So true . When Jamie was at TA I backed their horses with confidence . Once he hits his straps over there and gets good quality horses he will show how good he is
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